Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House by Allan Lichtman (En

Description: Predicting the Next President by Allan Lichtman In the updated 2020 edition of this classic text, Allan J. Lichtman applies his trademark 13 keys to predicting the outcome of presidential elections to every election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2020 race, dispelling much of the mystery behind electoral politics. An indispensable resource for political junkies! FORMAT Paperback LANGUAGE English CONDITION Brand New Publisher Description In the days after Donald Trumps unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. His 13 keys Using his 13 historical factors or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections, Lichtman had been predicting Trumps win since September 2016. In the updated 2020 edition of this classic text, Lichtman applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2020 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies! Author Biography Allan J. Lichtman teaches history at American University in Washington, D.C. He is a regular political analyst for CNN Headline News and also provides political commentary for national networks and newspapers. He is the author of White Protestant Nation: The Rise of the American Conservative Movement.He has published more than one hundred scholarly and popular articles that have appeared in suchjournals and newspapers as the American Historical Review, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, New Republic, Washington Monthly, New York Times, Washington Post, Christian Science Monitor, and Los Angeles Times. Table of Contents Chapter 1: Logic of the Keys: How Presidential Elections Really WorkChapter 2: Turning the Keys to the PresidencyChapter 3: Civil War and ReconstructionChapter 4: The Gilded AgeChapter 5: Rise and Fall of ProgressivismChapter 6: Depression, War, and Cold WarChapter 7: New Directions, War, and ScandalChapter 8: The Reagan and BeyondChapter 9: A False Dawn for Democrats: 1996-2004Chapter 10: The Winds of Political Change: 2008Chapter 11: Stability in the White House 2012Chapter 12: The Obama Legacy Repudiated: Where the Keys Stand for 2020Chapter 13: Lessons of the Keys: Toward a New Presidential Politics Review Animportant reminder to all of us, professional political analysts and interested citizens and observers alike, that fundamentals matter. Presidential elections are not personality contests or astrological events. Rational forces drive presidential election outcomes and nobody does a better job of making that case than Lichtman does.Ofthe hundreds of books written about presidential elections, one of the best is Allan J. Lichtmans The Keys to the White House.Thisintriguing study offers a radical system for determining in advance the winners of American presidential elections, a system integrating historical analysis and mathematical pattern-recognition methods. Long Description In the days after Donald Trumps unexpected victory on election night 2016, The New York Times, CNN, and other leading media outlets reached out to one of the few pundits who had correctly predicted the outcome, Allan J. Lichtman. While many election forecasters base their findings exclusively on public opinion polls, Lichtman looks at the underlying fundamentals that have driven every presidential election since 1860. His 13 keys Using his 13 historical factors or "keys" (four political, seven performance, and two personality), that determine the outcome of presidential elections, Lichtman had been predicting Trumps win since September 2016. In the updated 2020 edition of this classic text, Lichtman applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2020 race. In doing so, he dispels much of the mystery behind electoral politics and challenges many traditional assumptions. An indispensable resource for political junkies! Feature 8/5/20: Author featured in video for The New York Times predicting the 2020 election and explaining his process, eoeHe Predicted Trumpe(tm)s Win in 2016. Now Hee(tm)s Ready to Call 2020.eLink: html Details ISBN153814865X Short Title Predicting the Next President Pages 240 Language English Year 2020 ISBN-10 153814865X ISBN-13 9781538148655 Format Paperback Subtitle The Keys to the White House DEWEY 324.9730933 Edition 2020th Imprint Rowman & Littlefield Place of Publication Lanham, MD Country of Publication United States NZ Release Date 2020-08-07 Publisher Rowman & Littlefield Edition Description 2020 Audience General AU Release Date 2020-08-06 Author Allan Lichtman Publication Date 2020-08-07 US Release Date 2020-08-07 UK Release Date 2020-08-07 We've got this At The Nile, if you're looking for it, we've got it. With fast shipping, low prices, friendly service and well over a million items - you're bound to find what you want, at a price you'll love! TheNile_Item_ID:129293697;

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