The Intuitive Source of Probabilistic Thinking in Children by E. Fischbein

Description: Probability is a concept of increasing importance in scientific thought. Over the 300 years since the famous correspondence between Pascal and Fermat about games of chance, the theory of probability has become an important branch of mathematics with wide repercussions in science, philosophy, and practical human activity. In psychology, it is only during the past 30 years that the concept of probability has played an important part. What are the reasons for this comparatively recent interest? First of all, there is the fact that behavioural phenomena themselves are probabilistic in character. An explanatory model in psychology, whether mathematical or causal, must involve probabilistic considerations in its axioms and structure. Scientific psychology has only recently arrived at the idea of the need for probabilistic models in the interpretation of behaviour. Of the great doctrines, such as behaviourism, Pavlov's conditioning theory, and Gestalt psychology, to mention just three, none has provided explicit probabilistic considerations within its conceptual system. (introduction)

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End Time: 2024-12-05T12:36:11.000Z

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